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Oscars 2023: Cemoir’s predictions and ballot

These are Cemoir’s predictions and favourites in the long-awaited 95th Academy Awards, which is going to be presented by the AMPAS (Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences) tonight, the 12th of March.

Down below, the nominations of all feature-film-regarding categories are listed and categorized under two questions: Who might win, which can also be considered as Cemoir’s ultimate predictions; and Who should win, which covers my favourite in each category just like a ballot.

Todd Field and Cate Blanchett (Credit: Matt Licari / Invision / AP)

Best Picture

Who might win?Who should win?
Everything Everywhere All at OnceTÁR

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All at Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR
Top Gun: Maverick
Triangle of Sadness
Women Talking
Avatar: The Way of Water


Best Director

Who might win?Who should win?
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
(Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Todd Field
(TÁR)

Nominees
Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once)
Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Sadness)
Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)
Todd Field (TÁR)


Best Leading Actor

Who might win?Who should win?
Austin Butler
(Elvis)
Colin Farrell
(The Banshees of Inisherin)

Nominees
Austin Butler (Elvis)
Bill Nighy (Living)
Brendan Fraser (The Whale)
Colin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Paul Mescal (Aftersun)


Best Leading Actress

Who might win?Who should win?
Michelle Yeoh
(Everything Everywhere All At Once)
Cate Blanchett
(TÁR)

Nominees
Ana de Armas (Blonde)
Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)
Cate Blanchett (TÁR)
Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans)
Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All At Once)


Best Supporting Actor

Who might win?Who should win?
Ke Huy Quan
(Everything Everywhere All At Once)
Barry Keoghan
(The Banshees of Inisherin)

Nominees
Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)
Judd Hirsch (The Fabelmans)
Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All At Once)


Best Supporting Actress

Who might win?Who should win?
Kerry Condon
(The Banshees of Inisherin)
Kerry Condon
(The Banshees of Inisherin)

Nominees
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)
Hong Chau (The Whale)
Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once)
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)
Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once)


Best Adapted Screenplay

Who might win?Who should win?
All Quiet on the Western Front /
Im Westen nichts Neues
Living

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery
Living
Top Gun: Maverick
Women Talking


Best Original Screenplay

Who might win?Who should win?
Everything Everywhere All At OnceTÁR

Nominees
The Banshees of Inisherin 
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans
TÁR 
Triangle of Sadness


Best Film Editing

Who might win?Who should win?
Everything Everywhere All At OnceTop Gun: Maverick

Nominees
The Banshees of Inisherin
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
TÁR 
Top Gun: Maverick


Best Cinematography

Who might win?Who should win?
All Quiet on the Western Front /
Im Westen nichts Neues
TÁR

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths
Elvis
Empire of Light
TÁR 


Best Production Design

Who might win?Who should win?
BabylonBabylon

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
Avatar: The Way of Water
Babylon
Elvis
The Fabelmans


Best Costume Design

Who might win?Who should win?
ElvisElvis

Nominees
Babylon
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Elvis
Everything Everywhere All At Once
Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris


Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Who might win?Who should win?
ElvisElvis

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever 
Elvis
The Whale


Best Original Score

Who might win?Who should win?
BabylonBabylon

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
Babylon
The Banshees of Inisherin
Everything Everywhere All At Once
The Fabelmans


Best Original Song

Who might win?Who should win?
Naau Naatu
(RRR)
“This Is a Life”
(Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Nominees
“Applause” (Tell It Like a Woman)
“Hold My Hand” (Top Gun: Maverick)
“Lift Me Up” (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever­)
“Naatu Naatu” (RRR)
“This Is a Life” (Everything Everywhere All at Once)


Best Sound

Who might win?Who should win?
All Quiet on the Western Front /
Im Westen nichts Neues
Top Gun: Maverick

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Elvis
Top Gun: Maverick


Best Visual Effects

Who might win?Who should win?
Avatar: The Way of Water Avatar: The Way of Water 

Nominees
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues
Avatar: The Way of Water
The Batman
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
Top Gun: Maverick


Best International
Feature Film

Who might win?Who should win?
All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues (Germany)The Quiet Girl / An Cailín Ciúin (Ireland)

Nominees
 All Quiet on the Western Front / Im Westen nichts Neues (Germany)
Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)
Close (Belgium)
EO (Poland)
The Quiet Girl / An Cailín Ciúin (Ireland)


Best Documentary Feature

Who might win?Who should win?
NavalnyFire of Love

Nominees
 A House Made of Splinters
All That Breathes
All the Beauty and the Bloodshed
Fire of Love
Navalny


Best Animated Feature

Who might win?Who should win?
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

Nominees
Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio
Marcel the Shell with Shoes On
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish
The Sea Beast 
Turning Red 


Notes

  1. Since I haven’t seen the nominees of Animated Short Film, Documentary Short Film nor Live Action Short Film; I did not make any prediction or choose a favorite.
  2. Cemoir’s 2022 Film Awards will be available after the ceremony, so I suggest you to stay tuned in order to see my own winners.

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